Thursday, September 24, 2015

Stock market and corporate earnings might have been final straw for Fed’s rate decision

Since the Fed made its shocking no-call last week on its decision whether to raise interest rates, analysts have been not only questioning the true state of the economy, but also have been insinuating that the central bank’s credibility may be completely shot.  But as we look at new data coming out on corporate earnings, especially those on the S&P 500, their declines year over year (yoy) coupled with global and domestic stock markets being in sudden free fall may have been the reasons why 11 months of interest rate rhetoric was instantly thrown out the window.
Profit growth for the S&P 500 companies is at its weakest point since 2009. That’s because, in fact, there isn’t any profit growth.
S&P 500 earnings for the first half of the year are expected to show a 0.7% contraction compared to a year ago, according to numbers from FactSet research. Growth in the first quarter was a meager 1.1%, but the second quarter is more than offsetting that, expected to contract at a 2.2% rate, FactSet estimates. The last time the S&P 500 saw a year-over-year decline for the first half of a year was 2009, when earnings positively cratered at the depths of the global recession, down 30.9%. – Wall Street Journal via Zerohedge

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